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Energy investment EVPI. For the energy investment of Exercise 22 and using both of the probabilities considered in that exercise, find the Expected Value of Perfect Information.

Exercise 22

Energy investment decisions.
a) For the payoff table in Exercise 14, find the investment strategy under the assumption that the probability that the price of oil goes substantially higher is 0.4 and that the probability that it goes substantially lower is 0.2.

b) What if those two probabilities are reversed?

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