. a) We select two balls at random without replacement from a basket that
contains four white and eight black balls.
i) Compute the probability that both balls are white (2 marks)
ii) Compute the probability that the second ball is white
(3 marks)
b) Prove that by Chebyshev’s inequality, if x is any random variable with the
mean E(x)=µ, a variance V (x)=s 2 and ? be a small positive deviation
form the mean, then ( ) ( )
?2
p x-µ =? =V x . (10 marks)
c) If ?=5 and k =5 in (b) above, what is the probability of a deviation from
the mean by more than k standard deviations (5 standard deviations)?
(4 marks)

2. Prove that;
a) If E1 and E2 are subsets of S, then;
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 1 2 1 2 1 2 P E ?E =P E + P E -P E nE (12 marks)
b) if events 1 2 E and E are subsets of S such that 1 E is a subset of 2 E then
( ) ( ) 1 2 p E < p E (10 marks)
3. a) A manufacturer of metal pistons finds that on the average, 12% of his
pistons are rejected because they are either oversize or undersize. What is
the probability that a bath of 10 pistons will contain;
i) No more than 2 rejects? (5 marks)
ii) at least 2 rejects? (4 marks)
b) A company pays its employees an average wage of Kshs 3.25 an hour with
a standard deviation of 60 cents. If the wages are approximately normally
distributed, determine;
i) The proportion of the workers getting wages between Kshs 2.75
and Kshs 3.69 an hour (6 marks)
ii) The minimum wage of the highest 5% (2 marks)

 

 

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This task will require you to identify a discipline / industry / organisation (referred to as the research field) and to investigate an aspect of their decision-making needs as well as the opportunities for computer-based decision support systems development. Generic examples of research fields you may wish to consider could be the health sciences and patient monitoring, or the agricultural sector and the need to predict certain farming operations, or the university as it supports the decisions of international students, or a company as it budgets finances. The texts by Sharda et al (2014), and Web sites dssresources.com http://businessintelligence.ittoolbox.com/ and Australian Information Industry Association http://www.aiia.com.au/ and others provide examples of software tools and research fields where computer-based decision support are being developed. Wikipedia and Google are also good starting points. If you are unable to make a selection, the teaching staff can assist. This first assignment broadly aligns with the intelligence and design phases of Simon’s (1977)[1] decision-making model. The outcome of this assignment will be a business report containing your proposal. For the next stage of the assignment, you will need to develop your proposal into a project prototype which is also an individual assignment. This second phase broadly corresponds with the choice and implementation decision-making phases (Simon 1977). The assessment overall is designed to enable students to develop analytical and inquiry skills, writing, oral and interpersonal communication skills, organisational abilities, a sense of professionalism, as well as acquiring an understanding of the topic

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